1.15.2012

The Awards Witch: Golden Globes 2012 Predictions

Photo: Golden Globes.
A Wish List That Won't Come True
by The Awards Witch

Before I predict the winners for your Golden Globes pools (what, you don't do those?  Nerd.) here is a list of things that are GUARANTEED to happen tonight.
  • It's the 69th Golden Globes. Expect Ricky Gervais to play the obvious joke to death. That being said, it will be funny every time.  Funny as in 7th grade boy that jsut figured out the connotation.
  • Someone will drop the F note in their acceptance speech.  There is no obvious choice for who, with Melissa Leo not being nominated, but it will happen. 
  • God will be thanked a minimum of 8 times. 30 if Sinead O'Conner pulls out the win* AND is allowed to fly on airplanes that serve booze to get her here.
* IF this happens (and I don't think it will), after God is thanked 22 times, Sinead will then rant on religion and hop into a chauffeured car looking for the 8 Ball she could have scored at Jonah Hill's table for free.
Keep your eyes peeled for the above, take a shot when I am right, and bet on my predictions:

See The Awards Witch's predictions after the jump!



At first glance, it's nothing more than Sofia Vergara's boobs, but watch as Jason Sudeikis
kills in on Saturday Night Live last night as Golden Globes host Ricky Gervais. Video: Hulu.



Best Motion Picture Drama
Will Win:  The Descendents
Should Win:  The Descendents
Upset:  The Help

Reasoning:  This is the year of George Clooney.  In my life, every year is the year if George Clooney, but... well, that's a little off topic.  The Help could squeak a win, but count the rest out.  Also, keep in mind, this is the Hollywood FOREIGN Press. Baseball is kind of an American thing, and no one has forgiven Brad Pitt for Troy yet, so Moneyball has no hope.  No matter how much you liked it.

Best Performance By an Actress in a Motion Picture-Drama
Will Win:  Meryl Streep
Should Win:  Meryl Streep
Upset:  Viola Davis

Reasoning:  Meryl is amazing.  She almost cannot lose here.  Viola Davis has some critical attention, so there is an off-chance it happens, but I am calling Meryl.  Rooney Mara doesn't have a chance because the HFPA will recognize the superiority of the Swedish version, Tilda Swinton gives me nightmares, and well, Glenn Close isn't a fair nomination.  Although, she's been playing a woman in life for so long, it could have been hard to revert back to her roots for the role.

Best Performance By an Actor in a Motion Picture-Drama
Will Win:  George Clooney
Should Win:  George Clooney
Upset:  Michael Fassbender

Reasoning:  See above for Best Motion Picture Drama.  Poor Leo.  He tries, and tries, and tries, and I keep seeing Kate Winslet unclench his cold, dead hand somewhere in the North Atlantic while promising to "Never let go, Jack."  Ryan Gosling needs a few more years under his belt before he makes the bigtime.  Michael Fassbender is amazing, and although I didn't see Shame, I'm sure that acting out the majority of Hollywood marriages was hard to watch.  Wait, that's not what that movie was about?

Best Motion Picture Comedy or Musical
Will Win:  The Artist
Should Win:  The Artist
Upset:  Bridesmaids

Reasoning:  Even a silent movie was better than Bridesmaids.  Other than Melissa McCarthy shitting in a sink, that movie was NOT funny.

Best Performance By an Actress-Comedy or Musical
Will Win:  Michelle Williams
Should Win:  Michelle Williams
Upset:  Charlize Theron

Reasoning:  Michelle Williams survived Dawson's Creek to become one of the finer actresses of her generation.  Charlize Theron is one of my unwatchables, because she clearly thinks her shit doesn't stink, but she did do well in Monster, and that will be remembered.  Kristen Wiig is only funny while improv-ing, so she's screwed here.  The other two cancel out.

Best Performance By an Actor-Comedy or Musical
Will Win:  Jean Dujardin
Should Win:  Jean Dujardin
Upset:  Brendan Gleeson

Reasoning:  It will be funny to watch whoever is announcing this award butcher his name.  Brendan Gleeson was awesome in Harry Potter, which wasn't nominated, so there could be a makeup award here.  Owen Wilson has been done since Marley and Me, so count him out.

Best Supporting Actress:
Will Win:  Octavia Spencer
Should Win:  Octavia Spencer
Upset:  Shailene Woodley

Reasoning  I need none here.  Octavia Spencer was grand.  In any other class, Shailene Woodley would have this in the bag, but Octavia ruined her run.

Best Supporting Actor:
Will Win:  Christopher Plummer
Should Win:  Christopher Plummer
Upset:  Kenneth Branagh

Reasoning:  Christopher Plummer was amazing.  He will get the "career wrap-up" win here.  Kenneth Branagh was also in Harry Potter 2.

Best Director:
Will Win:  Alexander Payne
Should Win:  Martin Scorcese
Upset:  Martin Scorcese

Reasoning:  I think the HFPA will go with Alexander Payne, but they should go for Martin Scorcese.  The fact that he turned out Hugo is actually a fascinating master class in how NOT to typecast yourself.

Here are predictions for the rest:
  • Best Animated Feature: Puss in Boots
  • Best Foreign Language Film: The Skin I Live In (Spain)
  • Best Screenplay: Midnight in Paris
  • Best Original Score: Trent Reznor and Atticus Ross for The Girl With the Dragon Tattoo
  • Best Original Song: "The Living Proof" from The Help
  • Best Television Series Drama: Games of Thrones
  • Best TV Actress Drama: Claire Danes
  • Best TV Actor Drama: Steve Buscemi
  • Best TV Series Comedy or Musical: Modern Family
  • Best TV Actress Comedy or Musical: Tina Fey
  • Best TV Actor Comedy or Musical: Alec Baldwin
  • Best Miniseries or TV Movie: Downton Abbey
  • Best Actress in Miniseries or TV Movie: Kate Winslet
  • Best Supporting Actress in Miniseries or TV Movie: Maggie Smith
  • Best Actor in Miniseries or TV Movie: Bill Nighy
  • Best Supporting Actor in Miniseries or TV Movie: Peter Dinklage

Tally up at the end of the night and let me know if you beat me.  I'm still smarting over the idiocy of  Alan Rickman not being nominated for Harry Potter 7-2, so it could be throwing me off my game.

Check back at 7:00 pm ET (4:00 pm Pacific) when I will be live blogging the Red Carpet Arrivals.  Want to bet Charlize Theron is dressed like a jackass?

3 comments:

Did you just call Glenn Close a man?

Is Drive nominated? If so I hope it wins everything. The only thing that could have made that a better movie was if they cast Michelle Williams in the Carey Mulligan role. No offense to Mulligan as she was great but I think Michelle Williams should be cast in everything. Including the Dark Knight Rises and the Help.

Look witch, In my opinion, Bridesmaids WAS funny. One of my favorite movies of the year! You probably had an eye of newt or toe of frog stuck up your bum when you viewed it.

What are you saying? Glenn Close is a woman?

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